Adhering to a high-speed, rain-delayed race at Chicagoland Speedway, the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series continues its pedal to the metal approach at Daytona International Speedway this Saturday night at the Coke Zero Sugar 400.
Alex Bowman made his first Cup series victory a week and he has +1800 chances to repeat, however, it’s Joey Logano and Brad Keselowski with chances of +700 who top the oddsboard.
Intertops has Logano and Keselowski since the favorites at +700 followed by Denny Hamlin in +1000, Kyle Busch, Chase Elliott and Kevin Harvick at +1100 and Kurt Busch, Ryan Blaney and Clint Bowyer at +1400 to round out the top drivers on the oddsboard.
Standout Stats
Ford has won five of the last ten races in Daytona and Toyota has won three runnings over that interval, including the last two in a row, while Chevrolet has just two victories.
There has not been a repeat winner at this course since Jimmie Johnson did so from the two races at 2013. Denny Hamlin appears to become the latest driver to perform it as he won the Daytona 500 in February.
Just once over the past 17 races at Daytona has got the winner started on the pole and that was Dale Earnhardt Jr. in 2015. The average starting place for the motorist who carried the checkered flag during that span was 12.53.
Alex Bowman (+1800) picked up the first checkered flag of his Cup series livelihood a week at Chicagoland and has had good qualifying speed at Daytona recently. He has started first or second in each of the last three runnings in this track, but has completed 10th or worse, therefore until he can find the same rate from the race, I will stay away.
Logano (+700) has had greater success during the Daytona 500 than he’s in the midseason race in this course. In the 500, he’s an average finish position of 13.28, including winning in 2015, but he’s an average finish position of 21.2 from the July race and has dropped in each of the past two runnings.
Keselowski (+700) has experienced a string of bad luck at Daytona recently, with dropped in four of the last five races there, but six races ago at this track, he drove to victory lane. He’s five wins at Talladega, yet another restrictor-plate track, so he knows the way to compete in these races. Start looking for him to be in the hunt Saturday night.
Kyle Busch (+1100) less a favorite seems to be an automatic bet, but Daytona has gotten the better of him for most of his career. Busch won the July race in 2008, marking the only time he has forced to victory lane at Daytona, and he’s only three top-five endings there on the last 14 races, however he had been the runner-up in this year’s Daytona 500.
I have been fading Kevin Harvick (+1100) all season long since he had not shown signs of his former dominant self before last week. He looked strong at Chicagoland, leading 132 of the 267 laps, but finally finished 14th. Harvick has crashed in four of those five races at Daytona since switching to Ford in 2017 however he led multiple laps at three of these runnings. Assuming that he keeps his nose clean, this may be a fantastic place for Harvick.
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