Scoring is ablaze these NHL playoffs. It reached its summit May 3 using a ridiculous 6.09 targets per match and it’s currently at 5.85 aims heading into Game 1 of the Stanley Cup final.
When you compare it with recent postseasons, that amount is absurd. It’s also a storyline that’s been mostly overlooked by both the mainstream press and the gambling community.
From the 10 seasons ahead, the greatest goals per game average at a playoffs was 5.98 (2010) and even that was an anomaly considering that it was the first period under new rule adjustments to crack down with a force on obstruction. The NHL predicted it tighter to open up play along with the OVER crushed that year in 45-30-14.
I have ta hand it into oddsmakers because although scoring is way up this year, they have managed to book totals admirably. The O/U stands 32-36-11 heading into Game 1 between the Washington Capitals and Vegas Golden Knights. That’s actually a gain of $200.25 should you place $100 on every UNDER. Just how should people be betting totals in the NHL closing?
I think we will see some value that is UNDER during this sequence. The largest reason is goaltending and that’s necessarily the first thing you have to check at when you’re betting totals in the NHL. If a team’s goalie is not playing well, pucks will find the back of the net — it’s only an issue of how many.
When a team’s goaltender is hot, thoughhe can always slip an UNDER victory for you on his own.
Goaltenders:
Marc-Andre Fleury has propelled the Golden Knights into the closing and that’s clear with him sitting as the -120 favorite to win the Conn Smythe. Should you need more than this, Fleury possesses a 1.68 goals-against average and a .947 save percent.
That second number rankings best for a single postseason of any goalie who is played at least eight matches. As in No. 1 all time according to quanthockey.com. He is putting on a playoff performance for the ages and you’ll be able to run out of superlatives to describe it.
Braden Holtby is a bit of a different story for Washington. He’s been up-and-down these playoffs with a few softies squeezing through. He has had six games this postseason in which his save percentage dropped below .900, which is somewhat scary.
The good news for Caps and UNDER bettors, however, is it appears he’s saved his best for last. Holtby enters the final off back-to-back shutouts from a potent Tampa Bay squad with a combined 53 saves.
A big reason is that Washington played much better team defense in front of him in those games. The Capitals had 36 blocked shots compared with the Bolts’ 21 and, to methey played their best defensively of the postseason at the ends of the ice.
Holtby is a better goaltender once the Capitals are playing like that. He is not always the type of keeper who is likely to steal goals off great scoring opportunities again and again like Fleury. But he will stop only about all the shots he should when his team is playing well in front of him.
The prior fourth-round select has quietly made the third-best goals-against average in playoff history (2.01) among goaltenders with at least 50 games.
Scoring at the Stanley Cup Final:
Scoring typically goes down in the NHL closing. The group that could play better defense and owns the hotter goaltender usually wins the Cup.

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