Scoring is ablaze these NHL playoffs. It reached its summit May 3 using a ridiculous 6.09 goals per match and it’s currently at 5.85 goals heading into Game 1 of the Stanley Cup final.
When you compare it with recent postseasons, that number is absurd. It’s also a storyline that has been largely overlooked by both the mainstream press and the gambling community.
In the 10 seasons prior, the highest goals per game average at a playoffs was 5.98 (2010) as well as that was an anomaly considering that it was the first period under new rule changes to crack down using a force on obstruction. The NHL called it tighter to open up play along with the OVER crushed this year in 45-30-14.
I have ta hand it into oddsmakers because although scoring is way up this year, they have managed to book totals admirably. The O/U stands 32-36-11 heading to Game 1 between the Washington Capitals and Vegas Golden Knights. That is really a gain of $200.25 if you put $100 on each UNDER. Just how should people be betting totals from the NHL final?
I believe we will see some value during the series. The largest reason is goaltending and that is necessarily the first thing you need to look at when you are betting totals in the NHL. If a team’s goalie is not playing nicely, pucks will find the back of the internet — it is just a matter of the number of.
When a team’s goaltender is hot, however , he can always slip an UNDER victory for you by yourself.
Goaltenders:
Marc-Andre Fleury has propelled the Golden Knights to the final and that’s clear with him sitting as the -120 favored to win the Conn Smythe. If you want more than this, Fleury owns a 1.68 goals-against moderate along with a .947 save percentage.
That second number ranks best for a single postseason of any goalie who’s played eight matches. As in No. 1 all-time according to quanthockey.com. He is putting on a playoff performance for the ages and you can run out of superlatives to describe it.
Braden Holtby is a bit of a different story for Washington. He’s been up-and-down these playoffs with a couple softies squeezing through. He’s had six games this postseason in which his save percentage dropped below .900, which is somewhat scary.
The good news for Caps and UNDER bettors, even though, is it seems he has saved his best for last. Holtby enters the closing off back-to-back shutouts against a potent Tampa Bay squad with a joint 53 saves.
A major reason is that Washington played much better team defense in front of him in these matches. The Capitals had 36 blocked shots compared with the Bolts’ 21 and, to methey performed their best defensively of their postseason at both ends of the ice.
Holtby is a much better goaltender once the Capitals are playing that. He is sometimes not the type of keeper who’s likely to sneak goals off great scoring opportunities time and again like Fleury. But he’ll stop just about all of the shots he should when his team is playing well in front of him.
The prior fourth-round pick has quietly earned the third-best goals-against typical in playoff history (2.01) among goaltenders with at least 50 games.
Scoring in the Stanley Cup Final:
Scoring typically goes in the final. The team that could play much better defense and owns the hotter goaltender usually wins the Cup.

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