LSU Tigers and the Florida Gators equally come into this Saturdays game.
LSU moved to Texas and beat against the Longhorns. The Gators stifled then-No. 7 Auburn at the Swamp weekend. However, in this weeks matchup in Death Valley, both teams look to take a top-four place in the race more than to College Football Playoff.
Floridas defense leads the solution for them. They have given up the 8th-fewest offensive touchdowns (5), and also havent given up a point in the 4th quarter because their opener. They flustered Auburn QB Bo Nix into making several poor decisions since he went 11 with three INTs.
However, Joe Burrow is not Nix. He is a veteran quarterback and has led LSU to the greatest launching in SEC history. Theyve averaged 54.6 points-per-game, the maximum in college football. This includes the 45 they dropped on Texas on the road.
With Death Valley awaitings roar that the Gators come in as 13-point underdogs around BetNow. Would the No. cover the spread and 5 defense keep this close? Or will Burrow and win the wager up and also the No. 2 passing offense keep rolling? Heres the complete breakdown.
Theres hardly any uncertainty in Burrows ability . Hes converted into a Heisman candidate, acquiring a immaculate 22/3 TD/INT ratio and 11.5 yards-per-attempt (3rd at the FBS).
He is also working with one of the getting teams in the country. The trio of JaMarr Chase, Justin Jefferson, and Terrace Marshall Jr. have combined for 19 touchdowns along with 73 receptions, with averages above 15 YPC for these three.
Jefferson has great length using his 63 frame, and it has dominated in some huge games. Chase is a existence on the opposite side. Marshall Jr. will sit out until November with a foot injury, however, Derrick Dillon is an experienced goal who can fill the spot. Its all a part of a passing game that has Burrow at a 78.4% completion percentage.
They will face by far the DB unit they have played with all season. Northwestern State is a FCS team, but here would be the yards-per-attempt given up by the other competitions of LSU: Georgia Southern 111th, Texas 124th, Vanderbilt 128th, and Utah State 103rd.
Even although its safe to say they have yet to play with a QB of all the caliber of Burrow, florida currently sits at 33rd. They have played with FCS QBs, a true freshman (Nix), a redshirt freshman making his first start (Jarren Williams, Miami), and Still, C.J. Henderson was preseason All-American who is living up to his own billing. Shawn Davis generates a ton of havoc in the secondary (111 metres on three INTs). Marco Wilson is a bit on spot, but has a large ceiling as a cover guy.
Burrow will also face a ominous pass-rush, which will be healthy for the first time since their 10 sacks versus Miami over the introductory week. Jabari Zuniga, considered to be their very best is coming back from injury. With him on one side along with Jonathan Greenard (4.0 sacks/6.5 TKFL) on the flip side, LSUs 63rd-ranked sofa rate on their o-line will be tested.
Ever since Kyle Trask replaced Feleipe Franks (ankle injury) as Floridas quarterback, the Gators have outscored opponents 115-16.
Even though the QB have to improve his consciousness he has to get flustered by an opposing lineup. Auburns according is possibly the best in the nation, and ranks 11th in line yards to Football Outsiders.
LSU is ranked 31st and will be 85th in bag speed. They will rely upon blitzing LBs to help throw Trask. Even the Florida QB is certain in the pocket but is not outside of it. He also sprained a knee and wore a leg brace when he reentered the match.
With the LBs All-American safety Grant Delpit needs to develop big in policy. He probably will face off against a matchup nightmare in Florida TE Kyle Pitts (25 receptions). Neutralizing Pitts (65-240lbs, 4.6 40-yard dashboard ) is critical to LSUs success on D.
LSU–like Floridas secondary–is frequently considered DBU for the talent they have on the perimeter of their own defense. Derek Stingley Jr. is continuing this legacy with performances which should land him around the All-Freshman group, if not more, in 2019.
On the opposing side of him will soon be Kristian Fulton, that enabled the smallest sum of downs this past year out of all returning FBS corners. Although this group is now 69th in passing yards it will be a force if given an opportunity against a pressured Trask.
Balance will be crucial as ever for Florida, that has not got their running game this year, going. Last weekend broke a tackle at the line on his approach. Despite this, the Florida o-line ranks 113th based on yards and is going up against the No. 1 d-line concerning energy achievement (short-yardage scenarios ).
Even though the LSU front might not be powerful. But Florida only compiles 3.66 YPA around the ground, and thats like Perines long term and a 76-yard receiver sweep that closed from the Kentucky match.
If they dont buy Dameon or even Perine Pierce going it places ways too much pressure on Trask at a hostile environment.
Florida has earned respect following last week from the college football world. And while I do not expect them to come out from Death Valley with a win from LSU, I really do see this sport staying closer than most.
LSUs offense made unbelievable strides, also Burrow is one of the more smart QBs in the FBS. However, LSU is not likely to put up 45 or something close to that. Their pass-rush has fully evolved with Greenard wreaking havoc.
As the staff has relied on them far too much to modify the tide in games, the Gators defense will probably work out over time. Marco Wilson is going to be the subject against the physiological Chase or Jefferson into a PIs.
But I do not anticipate this. Maintaining the game in enough of a slog until then makes Florida the suitable wager on Saturday.
Prediction: LSU (30) — Florida (20)

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