With the 2018 NASCAR year coming to an end this weekend in Homestead-Miami, race fans will have their last opportunity to make a little extra cash for another 3 weeks. Not only is that the race sure to be an exciting one, the 2018 NASCAR Champion will be crowned. This implies, NASCAR fans have the joy of two different major gambling opportunities to take advantage of.
While Vegas has introduced their odds for every single driver to win the Ford EcoBoost 400 in Homestead-Miami, I’ve compiled data that shows slightly different outcomes. By choosing to ignore past year’s performances at this track and instead focus on season finish averages according to 1.5 mile trail performances, I have created a listing of drivers which are most likely to win this weekend. This listing also enables us to appraise each motorist’s gaming yield based on their own Vegas odds.
Vegas Odds
Kevin Harvick: 11/4
Kyle Busch: 11/4
Kyle Larson: 3/1
Martin Truex Jr.: 6/1
Joey Logano: 10/1
Brad Keselowski: 15/1
Chase Elliott: 20/1
Denny Hamlin: 20/1
Clint Bowyer: 25/1
Kurt Busch: 25/1
Eric Jones: 30/1
Aric Almirola: 40/1
Ryan Blaney: 40/1
Austin Dillon: 80/1
Jimmie Johnson: 80/1
Daniel Su??rez: 100/1
1.5 Mile Finish Averages
Kyle Busch: 5.4 (2) ^1
Joey Logano: 7.25 (5) ^3
Martin Truex Jr.: 8.9 (4) ^1
Kevin Harvick: 9.3 (1) v3
Kyle Larson: 9.6 (3) v2
Brad Keselowski: 9.7 (6) —
Austin Dillon: 10.4 (14) ^7
Eric Jones: 10.6 (11) ^3
Aric Almirola: 12.6 (12) ^3
Ryan Blaney: 12.7 (13) ^3
Clint Bowyer: 13 (9) v2
Kurt Busch: 13 (10) v2
Chase Elliott: 13.9 (7) v6
Denny Hamlin: 14.8 (8) v6
Jimmie Johnson: 17.6 (15) —
Daniel Su??rez: 19.25 (16) —
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